Is this the start of a second wave, and if so, will it be as bad as the first?
The number of Covid-19 infections has almost doubled in one week. 3,497 cases were announced yesterday. Hospital admissions have also increased. We’ll soon find out if this is a second wave, but there are some indicators of what’s to come.
Cases rise rapidly …
Researchers at Imperial College London said Friday that the number of cases in England has doubled roughly every 7.7 days and that the reproductive rate is 1
… But the April levels are still a long way off
About 3,000 people were hospitalized every day in April, and the number of deaths doubled every four days. With the current infection and approval rate, it would take five weeks to reach these levels.
EU cases have yet to stop rising
In Spain, France and Greece, infection rates rose to record levels in the past week. France reported nearly 10,000 new infections on Thursday and Spain 12,183 on Friday.
Other diseases can affect the NHS
The NHS is better prepared now. Many infections were transmitted in hospitals and nursing homes earlier this year. Most have since developed methods to keep Covid patients separate and better treat patients. Still, the number of patients admitted with other illnesses such as flu and norovirus has historically increased over the winter months.
The rules for social distancing are stricter …
The rule that no more than six people are allowed to gather socially comes into force in England tomorrow. But will people follow him? The National Statistics Office says that in England and Scotland, only 46% of adults reported staying socially distant.
… But the universities are opening again
Almost 28% of new infections occur in people over the age of 20, and the rate has reached 46 per 100,000 people in that age group. The schools are open and the universities are reopening. While social distancing measures are in place, large classroom and lecture hall gatherings are in stark contrast to the rule of six. Over the past week, rates for people aged 30 to 59 have also risen rapidly. People in their 70s are still seeing relatively low infection rates, but those numbers are also rising.