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Trump plans to relax the guidelines on social distancing



  Illustration for article titled Hes Doing the Dumb Thing

Photo : Drew Angerer ( Getty Images )

On Thursday, Donald Trump gave a preview on his nightmare plan to encourage governors and local officials to relax the social distancing guidelines to slow the spread of the novel coronavirus across the nation, which states that it affects humans must be allowed to physically return to work soon.

As the virus spread to all 50 states, DC and three US territories (with more than 50 US states) 81,000 cases were reported on Thursday afternoon – more than any other nation on Earth), the markets fell and millions lost their jobs . States and local authorities have imposed the closure of nonessential companies and restrictions on assemblies, while the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention introduced advice requiring school closings to work from home except in those with “critical infrastructure” “industry and avoidance of all indoor and outdoor areas in which people gather.

These measures are necessary in order to reduce the number of people who simultaneously become infected with the virus. Hospitals in some regions are already overwhelmed by the extent of the outbreak . One in Queens, New York, ordered a refrigerated truck to store corpses . Social distance guidelines can help delay and reduce these types of results, but it can take a long time to pay off . The United States recommended these measures only for a little more than a week at the national level.

In the meantime, Trump has openly argued about these restrictions and their impact on the economy. He believes they could be a "cure worse than the problem" and people should get back to work as soon as possible, indicating the absurd Easter time scale that occurred in a few weeks lies . Hence the letter from the President to the governors on Thursday saying that the White House would classify individual districts across the country as "high risk, medium risk or low risk" and "propose" guidelines for these areas: [19659007] Thanks to our advanced testing capabilities, we are able to quickly publish criteria that have been developed in close collaboration with the nation's health authorities and scientists to help district ratings for the continued risks of the virus. This includes robust surveillance tests that we can use to monitor the spread of the virus across the country. Based on these data-driven criteria, we will propose guidelines in which counties are classified as risky, medium-risk or low-risk.

Thursday's best deals: MacBooks, Thermoworks, REI Co-Op, Huckberry, … [19659009] Trump added in the letter that the data would give the governors and local authorities information they need to "Maintain, increase or loosen social distancing and other measures they have taken".

This is theoretically nice. But Trump can't lift the state and local restrictions himself, and his intent is clearly to put pressure on the policymakers who have imposed them to loosen the restrictions on large parts of the country for the sake of a mythical economy that only must be started again. Instead, public health experts warn that the worst is still ahead and that officials must take or even enforce strict measures to prevent the possible collapse of the entire health system.

The most worrying thing about Put people is conservatives and Public health experts actually agree on one thing: if done early, efforts to slow the spread of the outbreak in the community will increase the number of cases and ultimately kill more people than if they were on site and Stay in place, impaired. Opponents of the stricter emergency measures only haggle over how many more deaths would be caused, while expressly saying that they see this number as as an acceptable compromise .

Aside from the jaw – given the lack of concern about the impact this will have on vulnerable populations, this mindset overlooks the fact that deaths and panic may indeed not be that big of an economy. ( Per Slate even some prominent Republicans such as Ohio Governor Mike DeWine and South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham warned that it was much too early to reverse the mitigation effort.) Then there it is the fact that Trump's plan is based on. A widespread corona virus testing infrastructure that doesn’t exist – testing is still limited – and which he didn’t even think was necessary until yesterday.

"We could go to certain states now I have practically no problem or a very minor problem," Trump told reporters on CNN Wednesday. "We don't have to test the entire state in the Midwest or wherever. We don't have to test the entire state. I find it ridiculous. We don't have to do it. Many of these states could return now, and they're likely to do it because certain states will come off the rollers sometime in the not too distant future. ”

Per BuzzFeed Trump's own health experts, including General Surgeon Jerome Adams, Coronavirus Task Force Coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx and the Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Dr. Anthony Fauci, has pushed back all Trump's efforts to loosen the restrictions in a few weeks.

Laut the Atlantic the experts they consulted consider it highly unlikely that life would recur for at least three to four it normalizes months. William Hanage, professor of epidemiology at Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, told the magazine that it takes weeks from infection to intensive care unit emergence. This is solid data that shows which containment efforts are working and which will not take time. Per Wired due to this lengthy schedule, the effects of the national recommendations on social distancing become visible in the first two weeks "at the end of April or the beginning of May at the earliest". [19659005] "You can't get the best weapon we have, social isolation, even out of economic desperation if you're not ready to be responsible for a mountain of deaths," said Arthur Caplan, bioethics professor at NYU Langone Medical Center told The New York Times earlier this week. “30 days makes more sense than 15 days. Can't we try to put people's lives first for at least a month? "

" Anyone who recommends the end of social distancing must now fully understand what the country will look like if we do it, "said John Hopkins health expert Dr. Tom Inglesby told The Times . "Covid would spread far, quickly, and terribly, and could potentially kill millions of people in the coming year, with huge social and economic repercussions."

"Most infectious disease experts are concerned that they are currently too early – far too early – End social distancing measures here in the United States," computer-aided epidemiologist Maia Majumder told BuzzFeed The thing about public health interventions is that it usually takes some time before we actually see their effects at the population level. "

It is true that social distance cannot last forever. But to end it is Kind of massive federal effort required that Trump has so far resisted . Per Vox medical experts say large-scale surveillance tests will be required to track the spread of the virus, combined with a lot faster tests, interventions to isolate the discomfort and to track down people in contact with the sick arrived. and increased production of important medical supplies such as personal protective equipment and ventilators.

As CNBC noted, there is no nationwide surveillance test system, and the Senate only provided the CDC with $ 500 million to do one in the relief bill passed this week.


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